2026년 2월 10일 · Unknown · financial · 출처 Yahoo Finance
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Without a specific news headline driving attention, Walmart (WMT) still attracts investor interest through its scale in global retail and eCommerce, recent share price performance, and the latest snapshot of its financial results.
See our latest analysis for Walmart.
Recent momentum has been strong, with a 1 month share price return of 14.54% and a 90 day share price return of 26.82%. The 5 year total shareholder return of 191.55% points to sustained long term compounding.
If Walmart's recent move has you thinking about what else could be on your radar, our screener of 22 top founder-led companies is a straightforward way to uncover fresh ideas.
With Walmart trading above the average analyst price target and showing strong recent returns, the key question now is whether you are looking at an overstretched valuation or if the market is simply recognizing potential for future growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 75.7% Overvalued
According to the most followed narrative on Walmart, the fair value sits at $74.67 compared to the last close of $131.18, which sets up a wide valuation gap to unpack.
Walmart is the largest global retailer, operating 10,500 stores across 24 countries, with approx. 2.1 million associates. Around half of that is the domestic market, where the company is well-positioned to benefit from regional concentration. It has the highest number of stores (509) in Texas, which is the fastest-growing state economy.
Read the complete narrative.
Curious how a business this entrenched in everyday spending ends up with such a low narrative fair value? The story leans heavily on moderate revenue growth, gradual margin expansion and a future earnings multiple that is far below where the market currently prices the stock. The full narrative lays out the numbers behind that gap in detail.
Result: Fair Value of $74.67 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, the narrative could be tested if retail theft continues to pressure margins or if a softer labor market pulls back spending, particularly in higher margin categories.
Find out about the key risks to this Walmart narrative.
Build Your Own Walmart Narrative
If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test your own assumptions, you can create a custom Walmart narrative in just a few minutes using Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Walmart research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
Story Continues
Looking for more investment ideas?
If Walmart is already on your watchlist, it is worth lining up a few other quality ideas so you are not relying on a single story playing out.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include WMT.
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