Did Anthropic Just Give Investors Another DeepSeek Moment?

2026년 2월 11일 · Unknown · financial · 출처 Yahoo Finance

It's reminiscent of the market's 2025 reaction to DeepSeek, a Chinese start-up that seemed like it could deliver the same AI capabilities with a fraction of the hardware requirements. This "DeepSeek Moment" caused investors to rethink their assumptions.

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A full transcript is below.

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This podcast was recorded on Feb. 05, 2026.

Tyler Crowe: Software companies terrible no good, very bad day. This is Motley Fool Money. Welcome to Motley Fool Money. My name's Tyler Crowe. Today, I'm joined by longtime contributors Matt Frankel and Jon Quast. Guys, sometimes decades happen and nothing happens, and sometimes decades happen in a month. Yes, I'm using a Lenin quote on an investing podcast, but it really does feel like that this week because it has been a busy one. We're going to talk about jobs numbers. We may make a couple cracks at Google's earnings and their stock going down today, but we're going to start with software companies, especially like SaaS companies and a lot of things that has been going on in that space recently. It was right around this time last year when we were talking about AI having this deep seat moment. Investors were terrified that a Chinese company had built some impressive AI algorithms that ran on commodity hardware and were much more efficient than some of the AI models that we were seeing from Open AI. Well, this week, software companies, I think, had what we could call their anthropic moment. That's when AI Company Anthropic launched Claude Cowork. It's a AI tool designed to replace many software tools on the market today. Just to give some examples of the software companies that were reeling from this, over the past week, shares of Shopify are down 23%, Monday.com, and Fastly are down 15%. Bill Holdings is down 16%, and this is all as we're recording today. I could keep going. The list is long, and this is just a brief encapsulation of what we've seen at a lot of software and SaaS companies in the last few weeks and months. I want to put this to both of you. With the DeepSeek moment that we had last year, it seemed to have passed. AI spending is exploding and Meta, Alphabet, all these companies are full steam ahead, and there doesn't seem to be as many issues as we thought about a year ago. Will this anthropic moment for software like, have a similar result, or are there deeper concerns for these companies?

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Matt Frankel: First of all, Tyler, I love the Lenin quote you pulled out because I feel like New Year's Day was seven months ago, and it was like one month ago. We're in a very slow time period right now. But yeah, the answer to your question is, it depends if this is another DeepSeek moment or not. I really think the risk here varies based on the type of software company we're talking about. In some ways, it could be an overreaction. In some ways, it could be legitimate concerns. I think of software stocks in a three baskets, I guess, I'd say. One, there's the massive and deep pocketed software leaders think like Microsoft, in that case. They're not going anywhere. Then there are what I call the ecosystem companies, the ones that are mission critical for their customers and are just so rooted into their customer's business. Shopify is a great example of that from the stocks that you just mentioned. Then there are the software companies that essentially do one thing. Sometimes they do it really well, but essentially perform one function for a business that not only the business would be fine without, but if the Claude Cowork could make an AI driven alternative, they wouldn't feel any difference. Not that these companies are going to go away or anything, but like HubSpot and Atlassian, those are down way way off the highs. Those are two examples I'd put in that third basket. No, I don't think AI is going to completely destroy any of them. As earnings trickle out over the next couple weeks, we're going to get some really valuable insights from CEOs who are almost guaranteed to get questions about all this in their conference calls. But my general feeling is that the more mission critical the software company is to its customers and the more different things that it does, the better off that it's going to be in this anthropic moment, as you put it.

Jon Quast: This anthropic moment is really fascinating because on the one hand, this is what everyone has been saying all along, ever since AI real…