2026년 2월 23일 · Unknown · financial · 출처 Yahoo Finance
Make better investment decisions with Simply Wall St's easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge.
CF Industries Holdings now sits against a slightly higher blended fair value estimate of US$95.68 per share, compared with the prior US$91.21, reflecting recent model updates among covering analysts. Street commentary around the stock remains mixed but generally balanced, with many firms lifting or fine tuning price targets while keeping Neutral ratings that highlight both potential upside and meaningful risks. As you read on, you will see how these shifting targets fit into the broader analyst narrative and what to watch as that story continues to evolve.
Analyst Price Targets don't always capture the full story. Head over to our Company Report to find new ways to value CF Industries Holdings.
What Wall Street Has Been Saying
🐂 Bullish Takeaways
Goldman Sachs and RBC Capital both lifted their price targets into the US$100 to US$103 range and keep Neutral or Sector Perform ratings, pointing to a constructive setup in nitrogen markets and attention on supply factors such as Chinese export restrictions and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. RBC highlights potential long term benefits from the Blue Point project, which it sees as adding growth and exposure to low carbon ammonia, while CIBC cites strong free cash flow generation supported by CF Industries' low cost U.S. platform.
🐻 Bearish Takeaways
CIBC, despite its higher US$100 target, stays Neutral and flags limited identifiable catalysts over the medium term, which keeps enthusiasm in check even with revised estimates and a higher valuation multiple. BofA and UBS have lowered their targets to US$78 and US$86 respectively, with BofA maintaining an Underperform rating and pointing to growing oversupply risks in some commodities and a mixed setup in agriculture, while UBS indicates it is not modeling major macro changes for 2026.
Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there's more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives!NYSE:CF 1-Year Stock Price Chart
We've flagged 1 risk for CF Industries Holdings. See which could impact your investment.
What's in the News
CF Industries completed a repurchase of 4,100,000 shares, about 2.6% of its outstanding stock, for US$340 million under its buyback program announced on May 7, 2025. The company recorded asset impairment charges of US$76 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 tied to property, plant and equipment at its Donaldsonville and Yazoo City complexes. CF Industries launched a low carbon fertilizer supply chain pilot with POET and agricultural cooperatives, with first low carbon ammonia applications in fall 2025 and an estimated 5 million to 6 million gallons of lower carbon intensity ethanol expected from the resulting corn. At its Donaldsonville complex, CF Industries produces low carbon ammonia by capturing and storing CO2, with capacity of up to 1.9 million tons per year. It also announced that CFO Gregory D. Cameron will depart on February 15, 2026, with Richard A. Hoker stepping in as interim CFO.
Story Continues
How This Changes the Fair Value For CF Industries Holdings
Blended fair value estimate now stands at US$95.68 per share, compared with the prior US$91.21. Long term revenue outlook now reflects a 3.75% annual decline, compared with a prior 2.56% annual decline. Assumed net profit margin is now 15.65%, up from 14.23%. Assumed future P/E multiple is now 16.76x, compared with 16.11x previously. Assumed discount rate is now 7.86%, compared with 7.83% previously.
Never Miss an Update: Follow The Narrative
Narratives link a company's real world story to a financial forecast and fair value so you can see how moving parts like demand, regulation, and capital allocation fit together. They update as new data, research, and market events come through.
Head over to the Simply Wall St Community and follow the Narrative on CF Industries Holdings to stay up to date on:
How tight global nitrogen markets, low North American gas costs, and potential new supply affect CF Industries' revenue and margin outlook. The role of carbon capture and low carbon ammonia projects, including tax incentives and early premium pricing, in supporting future earnings and cash flows. Risks from heavy share buybacks, reliance on government incentives, and long term uncertainty around fertilizer demand and environmental regulation.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include CF.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
View Comments